The odds
as of Oct 5, 13:33 UTC- Christopher Nolan 95% —
- Javier Calvo 89% −2
- Martin McDonagh 68% −1
- Denis Villeneuve 62% +1
- Olivia Wilde 51% +1
- Cristian Mungiu 39% —
- Ryusuke Hamaguchi 34% —
- Christopher Miller 27% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$718
Traded in all$100K
Favourite, 7 days−0.5 pts
Christopher Nolan, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 96% · Sep 29: 95% · Sep 30: 96% · Oct 1: 96% · Oct 2: 95% · Oct 3: 95% · Oct 4: 95% · Oct 5: 95%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Christopher Nolan; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Christopher Nolan has been nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
Settlement sources: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences
See it on Kalshi ↗