The odds
as of Oct 26, 23:21 UTC- Above 38000 97% +0.5
- Above 40000 96% —
- Above 42000 96% —
- Above 44000 95% —
- Above 46000 92% +6
- Above 48000 91% —
- Above 50000 88% —
- Above 52000 92% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$82K
Favourite, 7 days+0.5 pts
Above 38000, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 19: 97% · Oct 20: 97% · Oct 21: 96% · Oct 22: 97% · Oct 23: 97% · Oct 25: 97% · Oct 26: 97%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 38000; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Rivian Automotive Inc. reports Above 38000 total vehicles delivered in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: Fiscal.ai
See it on Kalshi ↗