The odds
as of Nov 3, 04:19 UTC- Democratic party 58% +9
- Republican party 42% −5
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$38K
Favourite, 7 days−3 pts
Democratic party, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 27: 61% · Oct 28: 64% · Oct 29: 63% · Oct 30: 63% · Oct 31: 55% · Nov 1: 53% · Nov 2: 51% · Nov 3: 58%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Democratic party; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 Pennsylvania State Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will resolve based on total chamber control of the Pennsylvania State Senate, incorporating all 50 seats. In the event of a 25-25 seat tie, the party of the Lieutenant Governor elected on November 3, 2026, who will serve as President of the Senate with tie-breaking authority for the 2027–2028 session, will resolve to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Secretary of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania
See it on Kalshi ↗