The odds
as of Oct 11, 23:23 UTC- Chance of yes 2.5% —
Traded today$917
Traded in all$1.9M
Yes, 7 days−0.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 4: 3% · Oct 5: 3.5% · Oct 6: 3.5% · Oct 7: 3.5% · Oct 8: 3.5% · Oct 9: 2.5% · Oct 10: 2.5% · Oct 11: 2.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf Reza Pahlavi is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as the head of state or government of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Iran; the New York Times; the Associated Press; Bloomberg News; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; The Athletic; ESPN; TechCrunch; Wired; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC; NBC
See it on Kalshi ↗