The odds
as of Nov 6, 19:14 UTC- Chance of yes 3% −5
Traded today$18K
Traded in all$31K
Yes, 7 days−5.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 30: 8.5% · Oct 31: 8.5% · Nov 1: 8.5% · Nov 2: 8.5% · Nov 3: 8.5% · Nov 4: 8.5% · Nov 5: 8.5% · Nov 6: 1.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf BLS reports that New Jersey’s annual-average employment in Pharmaceutical and Medicine Manufacturing for 2026 is above 30,300 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is BLS series SMU34000003232540001, All Employees in Pharmaceutical and Medicine Manufacturing in New Jersey, measured in thousands and not seasonally adjusted. The 30.3 thousand threshold is fixed and will not change if BLS later revises its 2025 value.
Settlement sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics
See it on Kalshi ↗