The odds
as of Oct 15, 02:32 UTC- $4.01 or above 74% +7
- $4.51 or above 50% —
- $5.01 or above 41% —
- $5.51 or above 16% —
- $6.01 or above 28% +17
- $6.51 or above 20% —
- $7.01 or above 16% +6
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$976
Traded in all$71K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
$4.01 or above, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 9: 64% · Oct 10: 68% · Oct 11: 68% · Oct 14: 68% · Oct 15: 68%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, $4.01 or above; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the U.S. Energy Information Administration reports the Henry Hub natural gas spot price above $4.00 per million Btu on any day after Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Energy Information Administration
See it on Kalshi ↗