The odds
as of Oct 11, 10:24 UTC- Hakeem Jeffries 82% −10
- Jim Jordan 6.7% +1
- Steve Scalise 2.4% —
Traded today$755
Traded in all$36K
Favourite, 7 days−3.5 pts
Hakeem Jeffries, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 4: 85% · Oct 5: 86% · Oct 6: 86% · Oct 7: 86% · Oct 8: 86% · Oct 9: 87% · Oct 10: 83% · Oct 11: 81%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Hakeem Jeffries; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Hakeem Jeffries is the first Speaker of the House after Mike Johnson, before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: The New York Times; the Associated Press; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC
See it on Kalshi ↗