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Ernesta Kareckaite vs. Melissa Gatto: Method of Fi… Draw/No Contest 89% ▲+86Southern University vs Prairie View A&M Prairie View A&M 11% ▼−77Penarol vs Progreso Tie 87% ▲+67North Dakota vs Northern Iowa Northern Iowa 81% ▲+61UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Karecka… Yes 5% ▼−59Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI… October 15 91% ▲+56Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31? Dario Amodei 52% ▲+45Querétaro Governor Election Winner Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero 4.5% ▼−41Tachira vs UCV Tachira 96% ▲+41Minnesota vs Florida Minnesota 82% ▲+38CA Tigre vs. CA Banfield CA Tigre 18% ▼−38Riyadh airport closed to departures for 24 hours b… October 31 56% ▲+35Wild vs. Panthers Wild 81% ▲+35Will Trump try to fire Lisa Cook again? Before Dec 1, 2026 60% ▲+33
PolymarketCloses November 1, 2026

Riyadh airport closed to departures for 24 hours by...?

October 31 leads at 56% (about 6 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 10, 23:22 UTC. It's up 35 points in the last 24 hours.

October 31 56% ▲ 35 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 10, 23:22 UTC
  • October 31 56% +35
  • October 15 39% +30

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$22K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+20 pts

October 31, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 8Oct 1056%

Oct 8: 36% · Oct 9: 23% · Oct 10: 56%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if no flight departs from Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport (RUH) for a period of at least 24 consecutive hours, where that period begins between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Departures will be evaluated as displayed by FlightAware on its King Khalid Int'l Airport (Riyadh) RUH airport page (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK) and the corresponding departures page (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK/departures). Only confirmed departures, displayed with an actual departure time, qualify; scheduled departures do not qualify. Announcements, NOTAMs, airline cancellations, or reports that the airport is closed, suspended, or restricted will not qualify on their own if FlightAware displays departures. A qualifying period may begin as late as the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, and end after it. If a period without departures has begun but has not reached 24 consecutive hours by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until either a flight departs RUH or 24 consecutive hours have elapsed. A qualifying closure counts regardless of its cause. The resolution source for this market will be information from FlightAware (https://www.flightaware.com/live/airport/OERK).
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