The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Maintains rate 69% —
- Hike 25bps 32% −4
- Hike >25bps 2% —
- Cut >25bps 1% —
- Cut 25bps 1% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$161K
Favourite, 7 days+5 pts
Maintains rate, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 64% · Sep 29: 65% · Sep 30: 64% · Oct 1: 68% · Oct 2: 69% · Oct 3: 69% · Oct 4: 69% · Oct 5: 69%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Maintains rate; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Bank of Canada does a Hike of 0bps at its Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Bank of Canada; Federal Reserve Economic Data; Bloomberg Terminal; Reuters; The Wall Street Journal; Financial Times; The New York Times; Associated Press; CNN; BBC; MarketWatch; Bloomberg News; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; ABC; CBS; Fox News; MSNBC; NBC
See it on Kalshi ↗