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KalshiCloses January 1, 2027

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

The market puts it at 4% — a long shot, about one in 25 — on Kalshi, as of Oct 16, 04:26 UTC. It's up 2 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 4% ▲ 2 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 16, 04:26 UTC

Chance of yes 4% +2

Traded today$2K

Traded in all$67K

Yes, 7 daysunch

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price

Oct 8: 4% · Oct 9: 4% · Oct 11: 4% · Oct 12: 4% · Oct 14: 3.5% · Oct 16: 5%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word

If Ebola becomes a pandemic in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources: WHO

See it on Kalshi ↗

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