The odds
as of Oct 30, 05:19 UTC- Above 54.5 billion 96% +1.5
- Above 55 billion 89% —
- Above 55.5 billion 89% +13
- Above 56 billion 80% —
- Above 56.5 billion 78% —
- Above 57 billion 74% —
- Above 57.5 billion 78% +17
- Above 58 billion 86% +21
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$51K
Favourite, 7 days−0.5 pts
Above 54.5 billion, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 23: 97% · Oct 24: 97% · Oct 25: 97% · Oct 26: 97% · Oct 27: 97% · Oct 28: 97% · Oct 29: 96% · Oct 30: 96%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 54.5 billion; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Altria Group Inc. reports Above 54500000000.0 domestic cigarette shipments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: Fiscal.ai
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