The odds
as of Oct 30, 04:21 UTC- Chance of yes 42% −5
Traded today$509
Traded in all$62K
Yes, 7 days−7.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 23: 50% · Oct 24: 49% · Oct 25: 49% · Oct 26: 49% · Oct 27: 49% · Oct 28: 47% · Oct 29: 47% · Oct 30: 43%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf the total number of layoffs and discharges in the Professional and Business Services sector during calendar year 2026 is greater than 5,497,000, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will use FRED series JTU540099LDL, “Layoffs and Discharges: Total Nonfarm: Professional and Business Services, Level in Thousands, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted."
Settlement sources: FRED
See it on Kalshi ↗