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Closest Senate race in 2026? Mississippi 94% ▲+92Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent At least 42% 95% ▼−88Michigan Senate election: Mike Rogers vote percent At least 46% 12% ▼−86Closest Governor race in 2026? Kansas 95% ▲+83Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? Mississippi 87% ▲+81Mississippi Senate winner? Cindy Hyde-Smith 8.2% ▼−79How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after th… 56 85% ▲+78How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after … Below 45 85% ▲+71Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Nov 6, 2… Abdul El-Sayed 81% ▲+70Georgia State House winner? Democratic party 97% ▲+66How many House seats will Democrats win in Minneso… 5 96% ▲+66Tennessee Governor election: Marsha Blackburn vote… At least 46% 9% ▼−65Will the filibuster be weakened? Before 2028 85% ▲+60Alekseeva vs Fenyves Greta Fenyves 93% ▲+57
KalshiGame · Nov 4

Snigireva vs Shmeleva

Maria Shmeleva leads at 69% (about 7 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Nov 4, 16:17 UTC. It's up 45 points in the last 24 hours.

Maria Shmeleva 69% ▲ 45 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 4, 16:17 UTC
  • Maria Shmeleva 69% +45
  • Anna Snigireva 25% —
Traded today$274K
Traded in all$292K
Favourite, 7 days+45 pts

Maria Shmeleva, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Nov 3Nov 424%

Nov 3: 23% · Nov 4: 24%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Maria Shmeleva; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Maria Shmeleva wins the Snigireva vs Shmeleva professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Sharm ElSheikh Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Snigireva vs Shmeleva professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Sharm ElSheikh Round of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50. If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: ESPN; ITF; Fox Sports; Flashscore

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