The odds
as of Oct 8, 05:28 UTC- 20 37% —
- 19 28% +1
- 21 11% —
- 23 5.5% —
- 18 5% —
- 22 4.5% −1
- Above 23 2.5% —
- Below 16 2% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$34K
Favourite, 7 days+4.5 pts
20, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 1: 34% · Oct 2: 34% · Oct 3: 30% · Oct 4: 32% · Oct 5: 37% · Oct 6: 38% · Oct 7: 38% · Oct 8: 37%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, 20; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Democrats win 20 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York, then the market resolves to Yes. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner of every seat. See full rules for details. Where a candidate appears on more than one ballot line, all of their lines are aggregated into that candidate's own total.
Settlement sources: New York State Board of Elections
See it on Kalshi ↗