Moving
Baycurrent Classic End of Round 1 Leader Jacob Bridgeman 96% ▲+93Baycurrent Classic: Top 20 Finishers Stephan Jaeger 94% ▲+66Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin: Set 2 Winner Camilo Ugo Carabelli 90% ▲+54Erel vs Pleshivtsev Yanki Erel 93% ▲+46EPL: Team Points Hull City: 15+ Points 96% ▲+45ALCS MVP Winner Miguel Vargas 45% ▲+40Critics Choice Awards: Best Foreign Language Film All of a Sudden 44% ▲+38Steam: Weekly Top Seller STAR WARS: Galactic Racer™ 35% ▼−38RED Canids vs. FlyQuest FlyQuest 84% ▲+33Mertens vs Swiatek Iga Swiatek 80% ▲+31Kotov vs Griekspoor Pavel Kotov 64% ▲+30US strike on Colombia by...? Yes 30% ▼−28Women's Pro Basketball Finals Qualifiers Golden State 84% ▲+27Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greec… December 31 40% ▲+26
KalshiCloses October 21, 2026

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin: Set 2 Winner

Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads at 90% (about 9 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 8, 05:28 UTC. It's up 54 points in the last 24 hours.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli 90% ▲ 54 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 8, 05:28 UTC
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli 90% +54
  • Ilia Simakin 11% —
Traded today$30K
Traded in all$33K
Favourite, 7 days+55 pts

Camilo Ugo Carabelli, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 6Oct 820%

Oct 6: 35% · Oct 7: 37% · Oct 8: 20%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Camilo Ugo Carabelli; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Camilo Ugo Carabelli wins set 2 in the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Round Of 128. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: ATP

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