The odds
as of Oct 15, 15:26 UTC- Andrey Gyurov 90% —
- Kostadin Kostadinov 4.5% —
- Iliana Yotova 3.5% —
- Ivelin Mihaylov 1.5% —
- Radostin Vasilev 1.5% —
- Ivan Hristanov 1.5% —
- Nikolay Nenchev 1.5% —
- Ivaylo Simeonov 1.5% —
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days+41 pts
Andrey Gyurov, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 12: 48% · Oct 13: 90% · Oct 14: 90% · Oct 15: 90%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Andrey Gyurov; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Andrey Gyurov finishes in 2nd place in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on the number of votes each candidate receives in the first round, as published by the Central Election Commission, whether or not a second round is held and regardless of who advances to or wins it. In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities). If a candidate not listed on this event finishes 2nd, every market on this event resolves NO. Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the ballot list is published but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
Settlement sources: Central Election Commission of Bulgaria
See it on Kalshi ↗