The odds
as of Nov 7, 22:14 UTC- Chance of yes 4.5% −1
Traded today$513
Traded in all$43K
Yes, 7 days−3.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 31: 8% · Nov 1: 6% · Nov 2: 6.5% · Nov 3: 5.5% · Nov 4: 5.5% · Nov 5: 5.5% · Nov 6: 5.5% · Nov 7: 4.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf ABC Television Network has aired any episode of The Bachelorette Season 22 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. "Aired" means broadcast or transmission through the broadcaster's owned-and-operated stations, networks, or platforms. Must be a complete episode, not promotional clips. May be live, delayed, or pre-recorded. Can be new, rerun, special, or compilation unless episode type specifies otherwise. Must be intentional and scheduled (accidental broadcasts under 5 minutes don't count). For streaming platforms, "aired" means made fully available. Must occur on primary distribution channels in at least one U.S. market. Affiliates not owned by the broadcaster don't count unless specifically included. Web-exclusive content only counts if the broadcaster primarily operates as a streaming service. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the ABC. Any references to ABC, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between ABC and Kalshi.
Settlement sources: Deadline; The Hollywood Reporter; ABC; TVNewsCheck; Broadcasting & Cable; Variety; The Wall Street Journal; Reuters; The New York Times; Bloomberg News; official social media accounts of The Bachelorette
See it on Kalshi ↗