Moving
Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin? Talarico by 5-10 4.5% ▼−85Penn St. vs Washington Washington 3.5% ▼−52Penn State vs. Washington Penn State 97% ▲+51Riga FC vs. FC RFS Draw (Riga FC vs. FC RFS) 97% ▲+49TOTO Japan Classic Winner Akie Iwai 48% ▲+46FC Cajamarca vs Alianza Atletico FC Cajamarca 85% ▲+44CPI in November Above -0.2% 59% ▼−38Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia Tie 56% ▲+38New Zealand general election winner? Labour 3.1% ▼−38California Proposition 40 election margin of victo… No, ≥7% 22% ▲+37SOFR for November 6, 2026 3.90% or Below 86% ▲+36ATP Paris Winner Carlos Alcaraz 77% ▲+36CA Boca Juniors vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia Draw (CA Boca Juniors vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia) 56% ▲+36Texas A&M vs. South Carolina Texas A&M 64% ▲+33
KalshiCloses January 1, 2027

The Bachelorette S22: Will ABC air an episode in 2026?

The market puts it at 4.5% — a long shot, about one in 22 — on Kalshi, as of Nov 7, 22:14 UTC. It's down 1 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 4.5% ▼ 1 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 7, 22:14 UTC
  • Chance of yes 4.5% −1
Traded today$513
Traded in all$43K
Yes, 7 days−3.5 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 31Nov 75%

Oct 31: 8% · Nov 1: 6% · Nov 2: 6.5% · Nov 3: 5.5% · Nov 4: 5.5% · Nov 5: 5.5% · Nov 6: 5.5% · Nov 7: 4.5%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
If ABC Television Network has aired any episode of The Bachelorette Season 22 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. "Aired" means broadcast or transmission through the broadcaster's owned-and-operated stations, networks, or platforms. Must be a complete episode, not promotional clips. May be live, delayed, or pre-recorded. Can be new, rerun, special, or compilation unless episode type specifies otherwise. Must be intentional and scheduled (accidental broadcasts under 5 minutes don't count). For streaming platforms, "aired" means made fully available. Must occur on primary distribution channels in at least one U.S. market. Affiliates not owned by the broadcaster don't count unless specifically included. Web-exclusive content only counts if the broadcaster primarily operates as a streaming service. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the ABC. Any references to ABC, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between ABC and Kalshi.

Settlement sources: Deadline; The Hollywood Reporter; ABC; TVNewsCheck; Broadcasting & Cable; Variety; The Wall Street Journal; Reuters; The New York Times; Bloomberg News; official social media accounts of The Bachelorette

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