The odds
as of Oct 15, 03:28 UTC- Javier Milei 60% −2
- Axel Kicillof 32% —
- Sergio Massa 12% +5.7
- Mauricio Macri 2% —
- Patricia Bullrich 1.5% —
- Eduardo de Pedro 1.4% —
- Horacio Rodríguez Larreta 1.4% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$41K
Favourite, 7 days+1.5 pts
Javier Milei, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 8: 60% · Oct 9: 60% · Oct 10: 59% · Oct 11: 59% · Oct 12: 58% · Oct 13: 60% · Oct 14: 60% · Oct 15: 60%
The same question on Polymarket
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Polymarket's number is as of Oct 15, 03:28 UTC.
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Javier Milei; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the winner of the next Argentine presidential election is Javier Milei, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: National Electoral Chamber
See it on Kalshi ↗