The odds
as of Oct 11, 10:24 UTC- Chance of yes 8.2% +0.6
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$324K
Yes, 7 days+1.4 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 4: 7% · Oct 5: 8.4% · Oct 6: 7.5% · Oct 7: 7.5% · Oct 8: 7.1% · Oct 9: 7.7% · Oct 10: 8.2% · Oct 11: 8.1%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf the 22nd Amendment has been repealed by a subsequent Constitutional Amendment, or if the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled in an opinion or judgment that the 22nd Amendment permits individuals to be elected to the Presidency at least thrice under at least some circumstances, before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Library of Congress; The New York Times
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