The odds
as of Oct 15, 10:24 UTC- Chance of yes 15% −27
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$94K
Yes, 7 days−16 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 8: 34% · Oct 9: 33% · Oct 10: 33% · Oct 11: 36% · Oct 12: 35% · Oct 13: 45% · Oct 14: 44% · Oct 15: 20%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: The New York Times; Israel; Saudi Arabia
See it on Kalshi ↗