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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

The market puts it at 2.8% — a very long shot — on Polymarket, as of Nov 12, 01:18 UTC.

Yes 2.8%

The odds

as of Nov 12, 01:18 UTC
  • Chance of yes 2.8% —
Traded today$503
Traded in all$97K
Yes, 7 daysunch

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Nov 4Nov 123%

Nov 5: 2.7% · Nov 6: 2.7% · Nov 7: 2.8% · Nov 8: 2.8% · Nov 9: 2.7% · Nov 10: 2.7% · Nov 11: 2.8% · Nov 12: 2.8%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count. An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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