The odds
as of Oct 5, 20:27 UTC- Vietnam 14% +2
- Indonesia 13% +0.5
- Mexico 13% +0.5
- Canada 13% +0.5
- Israel 12% −0.5
- India 11% +1.5
- Australia 11% +1.5
- Pakistan 11% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$577
Traded in all$401K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Vietnam, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 13% · Sep 29: 10% · Sep 30: 11% · Oct 1: 10% · Oct 2: 9.7% · Oct 3: 16% · Oct 4: 12% · Oct 5: 14%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗