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PolymarketCloses October 31, 2026

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

OpenAI leads at 93% (about 9 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 6, 08:34 UTC. It's up 2 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 6, 08:34 UTC
  • OpenAI 93% +2
  • Microsoft AI 5% —
  • Google 1.8% +1
  • SpaceXAI 1.1% —
  • Tencent <1% −1
  • Black Forest Labs <1% −0.5
  • Meta <1% —
  • Alibaba <1% —
Traded today$555
Traded in all$34K
Favourite, 7 days+3 pts

OpenAI, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 28Oct 693%

Sep 29: 90% · Sep 30: 90% · Oct 1: 90% · Oct 2: 91% · Oct 3: 91% · Oct 4: 91% · Oct 5: 93% · Oct 6: 93%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
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