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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

New pandemic in 2026?

The market puts it at 5.5% — a long shot, about one in 18 — on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 05:55 UTC. It's up 1 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 05:55 UTC
  • Chance of yes 5.5% +1
Traded today$6K
Traded in all$1.1M
Yes, 7 days+1 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 56%

Sep 28: 4.5% · Sep 29: 4.5% · Sep 30: 4.5% · Oct 1: 4.5% · Oct 2: 4.5% · Oct 3: 4.5% · Oct 4: 4.5% · Oct 5: 5.5%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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