Moving
Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin? Talarico by 5-10 5% ▼−85Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Nottingham Forest 94% ▲+73Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC Nottingham Forest FC 93% ▲+72Leganes vs Albacete Albacete 96% ▲+69Kansas City vs Angel City FC Tie 90% ▲+69CD Leganés vs. Albacete Balompié Albacete Balompié 95% ▲+69Morehead St. vs Marist Morehead St. 76% ▲+61University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Novemb… 49.0 to 51.9 75% ▲+52CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CS Independie… CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 81% ▲+52Mendoza vs Rivadavia Mendoza 80% ▲+51Robert Morris vs Duquesne Duquesne 30% ▼−50Riga FC vs. FC RFS Draw (Riga FC vs. FC RFS) 96% ▲+48Artnak vs Bigun Bor Artnak 96% ▲+46Osasuna vs Bilbao Tie 70% ▲+43
PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?

OpenAI leads at 83% (about 8 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Nov 7, 19:13 UTC. It's down 3 points in the last 24 hours.

OpenAI 83% ▼ 3 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 7, 19:13 UTC
  • OpenAI 83% −3
  • Meta 5.1% +1
  • Ideogram 5.1% +1
  • ByteDance 5.1% +1
  • SpaceXAI 5% —
  • Microsoft AI 4.2% —
  • Recraft 4.2% —
  • Alibaba 3.8% +1
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+18 pts

OpenAI, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 30Nov 783%

Oct 31: 65% · Nov 1: 68% · Nov 2: 82% · Nov 3: 82% · Nov 4: 83% · Nov 5: 83% · Nov 6: 86% · Nov 7: 83%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
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