The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Hugh Jackman as Wolverine 95% —
- Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool 92% −0.5
- Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange 90% +0.5
- Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man 89% −1.3
- Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop 82% +0.5
- Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau 76% −4.5
- Mark Ruffalo as Hulk 76% +6
- Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel 74% −6.5
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$166K
Favourite, 7 days+0.5 pts
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 95% · Sep 29: 94% · Sep 30: 95% · Oct 1: 95% · Oct 2: 95% · Oct 3: 95% · Oct 4: 95% · Oct 5: 95%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordAvengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December, 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.
If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗