The odds
as of Oct 22, 09:27 UTC- <$1.062M 66% +5.6
- $1.062M - $1.083M 26% +3
- $1.104M - $1.125M 4.7% +1.7
- $1.165M+ 4.5% −2.4
- $1.083M - $1.104M 3% −1
- $1.146M - $1.165M 1.6% +1
- $1.125M - $1.146M <1% —
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days+42 pts
<$1.062M, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 15: 25% · Oct 16: 25% · Oct 17: 6.5% · Oct 18: 16% · Oct 19: 17% · Oct 20: 66% · Oct 21: 54% · Oct 22: 66%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on December 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/60)
See it on Polymarket ↗