The odds
as of Oct 21, 15:24 UTC- The Odyssey 94% —
- Obsession 88% +1.5
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day 72% —
- Michael 54% −1.5
- Backrooms 52% −4.5
- Toy Story 5 41% —
- The Devil Wears Prada 2 21% −0.5
- Avengers: Doomsday 17% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$971
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days−1 pts
The Odyssey, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 14: 95% · Oct 15: 95% · Oct 16: 95% · Oct 17: 92% · Oct 18: 91% · Oct 19: 94% · Oct 20: 94% · Oct 21: 94%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is ranked in the Top 5 of Google’s official Year in Search Global "Movies" list for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → Movies. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
See it on Polymarket ↗