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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Tim Walz in jail by...?

The market puts it at <1% — a very long shot — on Polymarket, as of Oct 9, 21:23 UTC. It's down 2 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes <1% ▼ 2 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 9, 21:23 UTC
  • Chance of yes <1% −2
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$59K
Yes, 7 days−2 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 1Oct 91%

Oct 2: 2.8% · Oct 3: 2.8% · Oct 4: 2.9% · Oct 5: 2.8% · Oct 6: 2.8% · Oct 7: 2.8% · Oct 8: 2.8% · Oct 9: <1%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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