The odds
as of Oct 6, 11:24 UTC- Above 170 bu/acre 91% —
- Above 175 bu/acre 57% —
- Above 180 bu/acre 26% −6
- Above 185 bu/acre 6% —
- Above 190 bu/acre 4% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$81K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Above 170 bu/acre, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 29: 91% · Sep 30: 91% · Oct 1: 91% · Oct 2: 91% · Oct 3: 91% · Oct 4: 91% · Oct 5: 91% · Oct 6: 91%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 170 bu/acre; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If USDA NASS reports that Nebraska’s corn for grain yield per harvested acre in 2026 is above 170 bu/acre, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is Nebraska’s corn for grain yield for the 2026 crop, measured in bushels per harvested acre, as reported by USDA NASS. Corn silage will not be considered. Use CORN → CORN, GRAIN → Yield.
Settlement sources: USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service
See it on Kalshi ↗