The odds
as of Oct 26, 01:37 UTC- Marsha Blackburn (R) 93% −1
- Jerri Green (D) 6.6% +2.5
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Marsha Blackburn (R), the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 19: 93% · Oct 20: 94% · Oct 21: 94% · Oct 22: 94% · Oct 23: 94% · Oct 24: 94% · Oct 25: 93% · Oct 26: 93%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 26, 01:37 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
See it on Polymarket ↗