The odds
as of Oct 8, 23:24 UTC- Chance of yes 22% −1.5
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$27K
Yes, 7 days−2 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 1: 24% · Oct 2: 24% · Oct 3: 24% · Oct 4: 24% · Oct 5: 24% · Oct 6: 24% · Oct 7: 24% · Oct 8: 22%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗