The odds
as of Oct 10, 05:25 UTC- Chance of yes 4.7% +3
Traded today$881
Traded in all$29K
Yes, 7 days+3 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 3: 1.5% · Oct 4: 1.5% · Oct 5: 1.5% · Oct 6: 1.5% · Oct 7: 1.5% · Oct 8: 1.5% · Oct 9: 1.4% · Oct 10: 4.7%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
See it on Polymarket ↗