The odds
as of Oct 5, 10:30 UTC- Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra 64% −4
- Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra 34% −2
- Nithya Raman and Steve Hilton 3.5% —
- Karen Bass and Steve Hilton 2% +1
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$35K
Favourite, 7 days+2 pts
Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 64% · Sep 29: 62% · Sep 30: 63% · Oct 1: 64% · Oct 2: 64% · Oct 3: 63% · Oct 4: 66% · Oct 5: 64%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If ALL of the following occur for Nov 2026: Los Angeles Mayor: Nithya Raman wins, California Governor: Xavier Becerra wins, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Los Angeles Mayor (USELECTION), California Governor (USELECTION).
Settlement sources: California Secretary of State
See it on Kalshi ↗