Moving
PolymarketCloses October 25, 2026

Serbia Election: United Serbia Vote Share?

40-45% leads at 32% (about 3 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 19, 15:24 UTC. It's down 3.5 points in the last 24 hours.

40-45% 32% ▼ 3.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 19, 15:24 UTC
  • 40-45% 32% −3.5
  • 45-50% 27% −1.5
  • 35-40% 24% +0.5
  • 50-55% 14% +0.5
  • 55%+ 11% +9
  • <35% 1.9% −2.3
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days−9 pts

40-45%, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 11Oct 1932%

Oct 12: 41% · Oct 13: 40% · Oct 14: 37% · Oct 15: 38% · Oct 16: 38% · Oct 17: 39% · Oct 18: 38% · Oct 19: 32%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of the valid vote won by the electoral list “Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia” in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by “Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia” divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named electoral list. Votes attributed to another list or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).
See it on Polymarket ↗

Politics & elections

More markets like this

All →