The odds
as of Oct 5, 20:27 UTC- December 31 86% +12
- October 31 44% +1.5
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$873K
Favourite, 7 days+35 pts
December 31, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 52% · Sep 29: 67% · Sep 30: 69% · Oct 1: 74% · Oct 2: 75% · Oct 3: 75% · Oct 4: 85% · Oct 5: 86%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Ilie Bolojan ceases to be Prime Minister of Romania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Ilie Bolojan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ilie Bolojan and the government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗