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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

The market puts it at 2.8% — a very long shot — on Polymarket, as of Nov 10, 15:15 UTC.

Yes 2.8%

The odds

as of Nov 10, 15:15 UTC
  • Chance of yes 2.8% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$232K
Yes, 7 days−1 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Nov 2Nov 103%

Nov 3: 3.7% · Nov 4: 3.6% · Nov 5: 2.9% · Nov 6: 2.9% · Nov 7: 2.7% · Nov 8: 2.7% · Nov 9: 2.7% · Nov 10: 2.8%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.” If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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