The odds
as of Oct 27, 15:27 UTC- Project Hail Mary 96% −2
- The Odyssey 88% +8.5
- Dune: Part Three 88% +18
- Werwulf 53% +11
- Whalefall 42% +8
- The Black Ball 39% −18
- The Mosquito Bowl 27% −5
- Godzilla Minus Zero 27% +3
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$10K
Traded in all$36K
Favourite, 7 days+16 pts
Project Hail Mary, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 20: 73% · Oct 21: 86% · Oct 22: 93% · Oct 23: 97% · Oct 24: 98% · Oct 25: 98% · Oct 26: 98% · Oct 27: 96%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Sound. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Sound when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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