The odds
as of Oct 26, 11:27 UTC- The Odyssey 94% −1
- Dune: Part Three 78% +2.5
- Project Hail Mary 68% +5
- Fatherland 41% −3.5
- Digger 39% +5.5
- Werwulf 36% −8.5
- The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth 15% —
- Obsession 13% −6.5
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$11K
Traded in all$30K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
The Odyssey, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 19: 94% · Oct 20: 93% · Oct 21: 94% · Oct 22: 94% · Oct 23: 94% · Oct 24: 94% · Oct 25: 95% · Oct 26: 94%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Cinematography. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Cinematography when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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