The odds
as of Oct 26, 11:27 UTC- 3.7% 90% +2.5
- 3.8% 5.7% −1
- 4.0% 2.5% —
- 3.9% 1.8% −1
- ≤3.2% 1% −0.7
- 3.4% 1% —
- ≥4.3% <1% −1
- 3.5% <1% —
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+8.5 pts
3.7%, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 19: 82% · Oct 20: 85% · Oct 21: 84% · Oct 22: 87% · Oct 23: 89% · Oct 24: 89% · Oct 25: 87% · Oct 26: 90%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Settlement sources: https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm
See it on Polymarket ↗