The odds
as of Nov 6, 13:16 UTC- March 31, 2027 96% +4
- December 31, 2026 85% +1
- December 15, 2026 64% +1.5
- November 30, 2026 55% +17
- November 15, 2026 20% −1.5
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+20 pts
March 31, 2027, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 30: 88% · Oct 31: 84% · Nov 1: 85% · Nov 2: 92% · Nov 3: 92% · Nov 4: 93% · Nov 5: 96% · Nov 6: 96%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if an actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor in a starring role of a feature film by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗