Moving
Raman's LA margin vs. Talarico's Texas margin? Talarico by 5-10 5% ▼−85Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City Nottingham Forest 94% ▲+73Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC Nottingham Forest FC 93% ▲+72Leganes vs Albacete Albacete 96% ▲+69Kansas City vs Angel City FC Tie 90% ▲+69CD Leganés vs. Albacete Balompié Albacete Balompié 95% ▲+69Morehead St. vs Marist Morehead St. 76% ▲+61University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - Novemb… 49.0 to 51.9 75% ▲+52CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CS Independie… CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza 81% ▲+52Mendoza vs Rivadavia Mendoza 80% ▲+51Robert Morris vs Duquesne Duquesne 30% ▼−50Riga FC vs. FC RFS Draw (Riga FC vs. FC RFS) 96% ▲+48Artnak vs Bigun Bor Artnak 96% ▲+46Osasuna vs Bilbao Tie 70% ▲+43
PolymarketCloses December 1, 2026

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

November 9 leads at 27% (about 3 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Nov 7, 19:13 UTC. It's up 24 points in the last 24 hours.

November 9 27% ▲ 24 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 7, 19:13 UTC
  • November 9 27% +24
  • November 12 23% +18
  • November 10 21% −7
  • November 18 20% +13
  • November 11 18% +6
  • November 13 14% −1
  • November 19 12% +6
  • No release by November 30 11% −23
Traded today$6K
Traded in all$34K
Favourite, 7 days+22 pts

November 9, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 30Nov 728%

Oct 31: 4.6% · Nov 1: 2.8% · Nov 2: 2.3% · Nov 3: 7.2% · Nov 4: 5.6% · Nov 5: 3.6% · Nov 6: 3.6% · Nov 7: 28%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗

Tech & science

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