Moving
aimclub vs. Nice Try aimclub 90% ▲+63Notts vs Sheffield Wednesday Notts 89% ▲+59Notts County FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC Notts County FC 87% ▲+57Porto vs Eindhoven Porto 11% ▼−53York City FC vs. Accrington Stanley FC York City FC 5% ▼−53FC Porto vs. PSV FC Porto 13% ▼−50Cambridge vs Wycombe Wycombe 82% ▲+49How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct … 3 84% ▲+46Oxford United vs Wigan Oxford United 95% ▲+46Oxford United FC vs. Wigan Athletic FC Oxford United FC 95% ▲+46Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF - Exact Score Liverpool FC 5 - 5 Villarreal CF 49% ▲+44Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - Oct… 200+ 50% ▲+44When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1? Before Dec 31, 2026 94% ▲+44Drugdova vs Angel Salma Drugdova 90% ▲+41
PolymarketCloses November 8, 2026

New Zealand legislative election winner?

National Party leads at 49% (about 5 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 20, 20:25 UTC. It's up 2.5 points in the last 24 hours.

National Party 49% ▲ 2.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 20, 20:25 UTC
  • National Party 49% +2.5
  • Labour Party 49% −4.5
  • New Zealand First Party <1% —
  • Green Party <1% —
  • ACT New Zealand <1% —
  • Te Pāti Māori <1% —
Traded today$16K
Traded in all$81K
Favourite, 7 days+3 pts

National Party, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 12Oct 2049%

Oct 13: 46% · Oct 14: 46% · Oct 15: 45% · Oct 16: 45% · Oct 17: 44% · Oct 18: 45% · Oct 19: 47% · Oct 20: 49%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid part list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
See it on Polymarket ↗

Politics & elections

More markets like this

All →