Moving
Bahcesehir Koleji vs KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo 86% ▲+70Levante vs Bilbao Levante 85% ▲+59Oscar nominees: Best Documentary Feature Film Once Upon a Time in Harlem 71% ▼−55Levante UD vs. Athletic Club Levante UD 81% ▲+54Saito vs Ngounoue Sara Saito 86% ▲+53OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25? 675-725T 92% ▲+47US imports Russian diesel by...? November 30 68% ▲+44Ajman vs Abu Dhabi Abu Dhabi 89% ▲+42Ymer vs Plunkett Rafael Ymer 91% ▲+41Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November No change 37% ▼−39Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations Because Today is Saturday 61% ▲+38Will the Onion Futures Act be repealed? Before Jan 1, 2029 14% ▼−36Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - Oct… 200+ 83% ▲+33Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks t… UAE 63% ▲+31
PolymarketCloses November 4, 2026

New Mexico Senate Election Winner

Ben Ray Luján (D) leads at 97% (about 10 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 21, 19:20 UTC. It's down 1 points in the last 24 hours.

Ben Ray Luján (D) 97% ▼ 1 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 21, 19:20 UTC
  • Ben Ray Luján (D) 97% −1
  • Larry Marker (R) 3.5% +1.4
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$31K
Favourite, 7 days−1 pts

Ben Ray Luján (D), the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 13Oct 2197%

Oct 14: 97% · Oct 15: 97% · Oct 16: 97% · Oct 17: 98% · Oct 18: 98% · Oct 19: 98% · Oct 20: 98% · Oct 21: 97%

The same question on Kalshi

Polymarket97%Ben Ray Luján (D)
level
Kalshi96%Ben Ray Luján →

Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 21, 19:20 UTC.

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
See it on Polymarket ↗

Politics & elections

More markets like this

All →