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KalshiCloses November 3, 2027

New Mexico Senate winner?

Ben Ray Luján leads at 97% (about 10 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 8, 14:29 UTC. It's down 3 points in the last 24 hours.

Ben Ray Luján 97% ▼ 3 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 8, 14:29 UTC
  • Ben Ray Luján 97% −3
  • Larry E. Marker 1.5% —
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$44K
Favourite, 7 days−1.5 pts

Ben Ray Luján, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Sep 30Oct 897%

Sep 30: 98% · Oct 1: 98% · Oct 2: 98% · Oct 4: 98% · Oct 5: 98% · Oct 6: 99% · Oct 8: 97%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Ben Ray Luján; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of New Mexico for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources: United States Congress

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