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PolymarketCloses November 4, 2026

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D) leads at 89% (about 9 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 10, 02:38 UTC. It's down 6.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Deb Haaland (D) 89% ▼ 6.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 10, 02:38 UTC
  • Deb Haaland (D) 89% −6.5
  • Gregg Hull (R) 8% +3
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$50K
Favourite, 7 days−6.5 pts

Deb Haaland (D), the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 2Oct 1089%

Oct 3: 96% · Oct 4: 96% · Oct 5: 96% · Oct 6: 96% · Oct 7: 96% · Oct 8: 96% · Oct 9: 96% · Oct 10: 89%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
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