The odds
as of Oct 28, 22:18 UTC- Chance of yes 9.5% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$948K
Yes, 7 days+2.6 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 21: 6.9% · Oct 22: 7% · Oct 23: 6.5% · Oct 24: 7.4% · Oct 25: 8.7% · Oct 26: 9.1% · Oct 27: 9.1% · Oct 28: 9.5%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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