The odds
as of Oct 5, 13:33 UTC- Chance of yes 16% +1
Traded today$524
Traded in all$460K
Yes, 7 days−1 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 17% · Sep 29: 18% · Sep 30: 21% · Oct 1: 17% · Oct 2: 19% · Oct 3: 15% · Oct 4: 15% · Oct 5: 16%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
See it on Polymarket ↗