Moving
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October? Google 94% ▲+91Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October? Google 91% ▲+89Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October? Alibaba 88% ▲+84Top AI model this month gemini-4-argon-high 4% ▼−84Grammy Winner: Best Contemporary Country Album Dandelion 72% ▲+69PPI MoM in October Above 0.4% 95% ▲+58Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (… Anthropic 27% ▼−56"The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening… 105m+ 61% ▲+53Who will get Israel's first mandate to form a gove… Benjamin Netanyahu 14% ▼−48Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond Joe Alwyn 97% ▲+47Instacart gross transaction value in Q3 Above $10.45 billion 82% ▲+44Pohle vs Solakov Leticia Solakov 89% ▲+44Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026 Above 1,400 units 94% ▲+44Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar: Exact Match Score Rafael Jodar wins 2-1 56% ▲+41
PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Israeli Knesset election annulled?

The market puts it at 13% — a long shot, about one in 8 — on Polymarket, as of Oct 29, 13:19 UTC.

Yes 13%

The odds

as of Oct 29, 13:19 UTC
  • Chance of yes 13% —
Traded today$43K
Traded in all$42K
Yes, 7 days+1 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 28Oct 2913%

Oct 28: 2.9% · Oct 29: 13%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the results of the October 27 Israeli Knesset election are annulled by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The results of this election will be considered annulled if they are formally declared invalid by the Israel Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, or another official body of the government of Israel with the legal jurisdiction to do so. If an official body of the government of Israel with legal jurisdiction to rule on this matter has formally accepted a case seeking annulment of this election and no ruling has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) the public announcement of a ruling or (ii) June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve based on the first qualifying ruling issued that annuls this election. Subsequent appeals or challenges will not be considered. The resolution sources will be official information from the government of Israel and a consensus of credible reporting.
See it on Polymarket ↗

World

More markets like this

All →