The odds
as of Oct 6, 03:30 UTC- Above $10.3 billion 96% —
- Above $10.35 billion 88% +1
- Above $10.4 billion 76% +7
- Above $10.45 billion 54% —
- Above $10.5 billion 31% −9
- Above $10.55 billion 20% —
- Above $10.6 billion 9% —
- Above $10.65 billion 7.5% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$34K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Above $10.3 billion, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 29: 96% · Sep 30: 96% · Oct 1: 96% · Oct 2: 96% · Oct 3: 96% · Oct 4: 96% · Oct 5: 96% · Oct 6: 96%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above $10.3 billion; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Instacart reports Above 10300000000 gross transaction value in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: Fiscal.ai
See it on Kalshi ↗